1 Nov

Targeted for completion
  • Final set of questions, in priority order - work on the scenario ideas <<We should rank our personal priority of the research questions. I think we can have a clearer idea of where to go as a group once we've thought about this.I created a new discussion topic on the scenarios page for people to post their rankings - Chris>>
  • Water model running
  • Decision on what to do for biodiversity (Hess & Harris have a plan)
  • Data for biodiversity available (SNHA, EOs done; Harris looking at GAP species data)
  • Have property value data (done - on Velocity)
  • Have projected urbanization data (semi-done - Bigsby has SLEUTH data on Velocity; Hess has access to Theobold data, but it's a huge national dataset - acquisition pending decision on whether we're doing time sequence)
  • Have prelim $$ values for nutrient removal
  • Have prelim $$ values for pollination
  • Decision on $$ values for diversity (Hess & Harris recommend not doing $$ for biodiversity - it's not the point)
  • Have place to put data (done - velocity session)

Do in class
  • Final set of questions, in priority order - we need a cohesive story, some "must do" items and then we can have some "add if we have time" items - we do not want to spend more than 45minutes on this item in class - so please review and work on the scenario ideas
    • RESULT - we will do a baseline assessment of ecosystem services, both biophysical and $$, for 2001 for carbon, nutrient retention, and pollination. Biodiversity will be done with significant natural heritage areas and element occurrences for now, possibly adding GAP data later.
    • RESULT - we will focus on questions 2,3,4 at this time and come back to the time sequence in question 1 if time allows. Hess will pursue obtaining and examining urban growth projections "in the background"
    • RESULT - agreed to collect data to pursue graphs sketched out here - GraphSketches.pdf
  • Need coordinators for ...
    • Presentation - Melissa will outline
    • Manuscript - Melissa will outline
    • Data management - wiki page created for layers; all students told to keep good records of their files for eventual upload to a common place
    • Overall coordinator - Hess to do
  • Review the timeline on this wiki page and adjust as needed - assign responsibility as much as we can - be as specific as possible
  • Question - Should we have Thursday afternoon (4ish) work meetings for the rest of the semester? Or some other time?
  • Interact, work, trouble-shoot


Do after class
  • Coordinate collection of layers in preparation for next class - we have a layers files page that specifies what is needed - post to that page - model groups
  • Get 2001 biophysical and $$ layers for carbon, nutrient retention, pollination - see layers files page for details - model groups
  • Share these layers on the layers files page
  • Hess & Harris need layers so they can begin biodiversity analysis (they will be developing methods to do this with simulated data) - they will need some quick instruction from Bigsby on how to do overlap analysis (ie, questions like "How much of the significant natural areas are included in the highest-quartile ecosystem services areas) - we can start with any single layer (carbon is most likely first candidate) - Harris will post
Need method developed to convert tax value data to something that can be overlayed with the ecosystem services data in a useful way - see the scenario ideas for Hess' initial thoughts - Bigsby will create tax value data
  • Draft manuscript / presentation introduction, including study objectives - how are we going to frame our questions? - McHale handling
  • Draft methods for each model - we won't spend much time on methods in the presentation - model groups - post to Methods page by Friday 5 Nov 5PM
  • Start a presentation / manuscript outline - McHale handling




8 Nov

Hess out; McHale leading

Targeted for completion
  • Have layers ready for overlapping in class so we can start drawing conclusions - we do NOT want to have to spend a lot of time messing around with GIS - want things ready to go - all responsible
  • Intro to manuscript and presentation, including objectives in first draft - McHale in charge
  • Rough draft methods for each model - all responsible
  • Any proposals for new results, maps, graphs, and tables based on what we've learned this week - all responsible

Do in class
  • Review and refine presentation / manuscript outline - McHale lead
RESULT - we agreed on the outline so far and have to create the graphs so we can figure out how we will tell the results story
  • Results and problems - Bigsby leading, with McHale; teams reporting
RESULT - We discussed everyone's results, made sense of what the water model is doing, talked about alternative ways to value the services
  • Other results,maps, graphs, tables we want - McHale lead
RESULT -
For Question 1: We discussed regressing the total ecosystem service value (stacked and normalized) against the species richness value per pixel.
For Question 2: We discussed several versions of pie charts that would show how many services make up the areas with high biodiversity or high biodiversity value (i.e. natural heritage sites)
  • Set goals for week, revisit and update schedule - all

RESULT - We did not have enough time to sort through all potential graphs for our questions, but everyone agreed they liked working on this while they were in a room together. We will meet again this week (whoever is available, Meg sending out a "Whenisgood" link) to sort out some of the graphs, and will come together in the next class, make some final decisions, while at the same time completing analyses in class (actually making the graphs!). In order to accomplish this everyone has to have their final, complete, perfect models run. See list of goals below (Do after class).
  • Interact, work, trouble-shoot
RESULT - Beautifully done, with excitement ;)

Do after class


For each model what are things we should be doing…

Water:
· Finalize max nitrogen loading value for ws (model says use local value)
· Cost for nitrogen removal do floating point value based on treatment on local or in subwatershed treatment plant
· Methods need to be fixed
· Values for run-off –water yield model: tax for % impervious from cities, Runoff associated with the difference between forest and urban, Values in papers M sent about quantifying urban tree benefits (McPherson et al. - Benefits of Trees in Fort Collins). Websites that have some info:

http://www.americanforests.org/resources/urbanforests/analysis.php

http://www.americanforests.org/downloads/graytogreen/value_waterquality.pdf

Carbon:
· Fix methods
· Add LUCL chart in paragraph form
· Run model w/ $ values and upload to wiki
· More papers on reg markets?
Pollen:
· Talk to J randall
· Need to revise methods
· Need finalize parameter tables
· Need $ value

Biodiversity:
· Species list per pixel (i.e. richness)
· Buffer element occurrences
· Dbase file – whats going on with this
· Revise methods
· $ amount? – some digging here.

Additional goals for next week and the near future:
· Next Monday run the model to finalize and eat pizza and then drink beer
· Melissa to meet with others for graph…………………….0






15 Nov

Targeted for completion
  • All layers and data final
  • Updated maps and graphs
  • Preliminary conclusions

Do in class
  • Status updates
  • FInalize the main graphs we should be creating for each question
  • Run the model to produce data and create graphs while we are working together
  • Plan additional work periods for this week
  • Note that proposed travel schedule for DC trip is up (see bottom of this page) - comments if any - chime in on what you like to experience during our short time with WWF

Do after class
  • Start pulling things together for presentation - need a leader - Nyeema for biodiversity; Alicia, Meg for property value
  • Start pulling bits for manuscript together - need a leader - Neal, with Chris
  • Carbon- check numbers and redo as needed; Meg by Wed.
  • Check on NPP numbers and feasibility - Melissa
  • Pollination- pollinator service value brainstorm; Resample to 30m by Tuesday a.m.
  • Water- biophysical DONE
  • Restack models (biophysical to compare with biodiversity) - Kevin Thursday
  • BIodiversity - Kevin & Nyeema, Friday
  • George SNHA resample Thursday
  • Carbon valuation - annual dollar (1 metric T/year); storage/ sequestration
  • Stack Value on Monday
  • Shawn pulling together comments on / problems with model

Begin drafting results





22 Nov

Targeted for completion
  • Near-final maps and graphs - they need to look uniform, but don't yet need to be perfectly polished
  • Rough presentation



Do in class

Do after class

  • Complete the presentation
  • Move writing forward - refine methods and results
  • Start putting the manuscript into a single document (google docs)
  • Finalize figures and graphs





29 Nov

Targeted for completion
  • Practice presentation and polish it in class


Do in class
  • Work on presentation
  • Define any final analyses
  • Detail how work will be completed
  • Establish date for later this week - work and practice sessison


Do after class

  • By 8AM Wed 1 Dec - comments on presentation to Nyeema & Alicia
    • main points for each analysis
    • interpretation of results
  • By 11AM Wed 1 Dec - comments to Shawn on model issues / complaints / compliments
  • At 11 AM Wed 1 Dec - Nyeema and Alicia meet in 3215 Jordan to put presentation together - all are welcome
  • At 3PM-5PM Thurs 2 Dec - practice presentation and crit in 2024 Biltmore (Conger Room) - please come if available

  • Pull manuscript down into Word for polishing; solicit and integrate comments






6-7 December: Presentation at WWF

Targeted for completion
  • Final presentation
  • Decent draft of manuscript


Schedule

Monday 6 Dec

7:30AM - Depart in van from circle on east end of Jordan Addition - bring a lunch and any morning coffee you want - we'll stop once on the road for 15 min or so. Please deal with your vehicle before showing up at 7:30.

12:30PM - Arrive hotel - check in - hotel covered by WWF

BEST WESTERN ROSSLYN - IWO JIMA (703) 524-5000
1501 Arlington Blvd
Arlington, VA 22209


1:15PM - walk to Metro, Roslyn station
1:30PM - Be on Metro to WWF

3-5 presentation with general questions (3-4), followed by extra time with Stanford core team via Webex (4-5)
5-6 happy hour with whomever at science program can make it (get to know some real life NGO scientists)
6-? Dinner out somewhere (just our group)

Back to hotel by Metro

Tuesday 7 Dec

Breakfast on your own

Check out and have your luggage to put in the van

8AM ready to walk to Metro (we'll be leaving the van at the hotel)

9AM arrive WWF

9-11AM meetings with WWF NatCap staff (Nirmal, Nasser) anyone else who’s interested. Tour of WWF.

11-12 sit in on science lab meeting (see some issues NGO scientists have to deal with)

1230 or so: depart! - grab lunch on the road

6:30PM (estimate) - Back in Raleigh - Jordan Hall circle


Expenses
  • The College of Natural Resources is paying for the van.
  • World Wildlife is covering our hotel room - any incidentals are on you.
  • You should be prepared to pay for all meals and for the Metro.
  • Please bring cash to purchase Metro Cards (I think the machines take credit cards, but I'm not positive and it's not obvious on the web site). We're one stop from WWF (Rosslyn -> Foggy Bottom on the Blue or Orange line) and the fare is $1.60 each way - prob want to buy $7 card - not sure where / how dinner is happening.

Rooms
  • We have four double rooms, so we'll be sharing - two rooms for females (two in each), two for males (2+3, and I'll sleep on the roll-away in one of them)